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Archive for November, 2008

The First Edition of our News Letter is published!

Wednesday, November 26th, 2008

Sometime ago I wrote on this Blog that we will create a News Letter. Finally it has been published today. It was much harder and took longer than I orginally expected. However during the making of this edition I heard from many friends, especially Non Koreans, about their needs on Information about the Korean Telecom, Media, and Technology sector.

I tried hard to suit their needs but as their needs were very diverse I could not cover all the requests. But during this process I have also learned what the really sought after news on Korean TMT sector are, so I will keep it in mind for the upcoming editions.

Do read this News Letter and I hope you all can get at least some ‘points’ from it. I also recommend you to spread this News Letter to your friends/collegues/clients as it will be a good source for their business. Also keep in touch with me if you have any additional ideas or requests.

We have created a Menu called ‘News Letter’ on top of our blog so you can subscribe/unsubscribe/recommend our News Letter.

Thanks again for your generous patience.

You can also see our News Letter online.

WiBro - Will it work as promised?

Tuesday, November 25th, 2008

WiBro is the Korean version of Mobile WiMax. There are two WiBro carriers, KT and SK Telecom, and their WiBro service brands are KT WiBro and T Login respectively.

The WiBro adoption rate in Korea has been vey slow due to the operators’ low motivation and low interest of customer. WiBro subscribers were, by the end of August 2008, 188 thousand for KT and 3 thousand for SK Telecom. The penetration rate at that time was only 0.4% and ARPU was only 10 US dollars.

First of all, the operators were not motivated to create the new markets in wireless broadband. Korean operators such as KT and SK Telecom do not regard WiBro as their alternative product to HSDPA and FTTH, but as the complementary goods to them. A complementary good does not make enough profit as a single business unit and the investments are also limited. Consequently, the coverage of WiBro network in Korea is limited to the Metropolitan area including Seoul. As their coverage focus is limited to outdoor, the indoor network quality where Wi-Fi usually covers does not meet customers’ expectation. Additionally, they are not active in their advertising and promotion to allure subscribers. Consequently the adoption rate of WiBro is relatively slow, and it will unlikely be changed for the next two or three years.


Secondly, the customers are not in desperate need for WiBro. Basically, they do not value WiBro access to the broadband internet while they are moving. Even the professional segment, which is the most attractive market segment, is not interested in WiBro. Given the fact that they can access the Internet through the stable and excellent wired broadband or Wi-Fi, they cannot find strong reasons to use WiBro, which requires extra money. In addition, the WiBro device, a laptop modem style with limited functions fails to induce customers. Recently, however, PMP (Personal Media Player) and navigation are diversifying their device portfolio in order to expand its target segment and to stimulate the unmet needs of customers. In this regards, they consider including WiBro functions in their products. It would be an alternate solution to enhance the adoption rate that we provide customers with WiBro modem in bundled or built-in manner.

However, this slow WiBro adoption in Korea could be changed soon. SK Telecom recently announced that they would focus on WiBro for their wireless internet strategy. SK Telecom will invest 815 billion won in total for WiBro by 2010. Also they are planning to build the WiBro network system with ‘Wave 2′, twice faster than the existing one, by 2009.

KT is also planning to invest 1 trillion won in total by 2011. KT made strategic partnership with device manufacturer such as Samsung Electroninc, LG Electronincs, TG Sambo, and Cowon for improving cooperation system related to WiBro.

The chart above is WiBro subscriber forecast by 2009 based on the data from June 2006 to June 2008. So far, the blue line is more accurately reflecting the current market situation, WiBro Subscribers are still around 180 thousand.

These days both SK Telecom and KT are promoting WiBro a lot. To promote WiBro, both offer free WiBro for 3 to 6 months to their new customers. With such an active promotion, SK Telecom attracted more than one thousand people as their new WiBro subscriber only in 13 days.

Currently it is still hard to predict whether WiBro is going to be a success in Korea or not. I assume that most of the present WiBro subscribers are using WiBro thorugh the free promotion, so it is yet difficult to say how the market will look like for the longer term.

The forecast of the Korean Communication Market in 2009.

Monday, November 24th, 2008

Following charts are from the 2009 Korea Communication Market Forecast Report by KT Management Research Labotory, Digieco (www.digieco.co.kr). To see in detail, click the charts.

KT Management Research Labotory forecasted that the Korean communication market size will grow to 308.1 trillion won (appox. 220 billion us dollars)

According to the report,  VoIP subscribers will increase by 8.2 billion and market revenue will increase by 270 billion won (appox. 157 million us dollars).

Everybody in this industry is monitoring the IPTV market closely these days. The subscribers for IPTV were, according to the data from June 2008, around 1.5 million. This chart was drawn based on the actual data from July 2006 to June 2008. It describes two possible scenarios, shown by a orange and a blue line, about the future subscriber base of IPTV in Korea.

To see whether the outcome will result in the blue or orange line I searched for other sources for subscriber base and found that there were 1.6 million subscribers by September 2008. Consequently it seems that the prediction shown by the orange line is more similar to the reality than the blue line so far.

Report also pointed out three changes of paradigm from 2008 Korean communication industry as follows:

1. IT governance changes

2. Government policies for IT industry growth changes

3. Competition dynamics change in Korean communication industry

Report also forecasted that the Korean communication industry will change through convergence of media such as broadcasts, telecom, internet, newspapers especially with the start of Korea Communications Commisions, equivalent to Ofcom in UK,